Sunday, December 7, 2014

Rankings through December 7, 2014

The first playoff teams have been announced!  After the top 6 teams from last week all won, the committee had a difficult decision between 6 conference champions in the 5 major conferences (with the TCU/Baylor co-champions in the "One True Champion" Big 12.  Ohio State's shockingly convincing defeat of Wisconsin was enough to jump ahead of TCU and Baylor and allowed the committee to avoid the uncomfortable decision of choosing between Baylor and TCU.

Our ranking system agrees with the committee's selection for the top 4, though in a different order.  However, TCU is the last team out for most values of our parameter including the lower values where strength of schedule is more emphasized.  Ole Miss, Baylor, and Arizona claim the #5 spot for larger values of our parameter p.  

It's interesting to imagine what the BCS would have done this year.  What two teams would have made the championship game?  Would an undefeated FSU been left out?  If not, would Alabama or Oregon get in?  Though we cannot be sure since the Harris Interactive Poll no longer exists, a simulated BCS ranks Alabama and FSU as the top 2.  While it's great to have the top 4 instead of 2, we are again reminded that someone will always be left out.  

It certainly will be exciting to see these 4 conference champions battle for the national championship on the field in January!  

Monday, November 24, 2014

Rankings through November 22, 2014

We head into rivalry week with several very interesting games with definite championship implications.  FSU has looked shaky and will probably be pushed to the brink again against Florida.  Auburn, Ole Miss, Texas, and even Oregon State all have a chance to ruin the playoff dreams of their in-state rivals with at least 4 teams hoping that a slip at the top will vault them into the playoff.  Rivalry games in the Pac-12 and B1G will determine who gets the to the conference championship games.  It should be a great Thanksgiving weekend of football!

Sunday, November 16, 2014

Rankings through November 15, 2014

Alabama upended Mississippi State and claimed the number one spot in our ranking this week.  Florida State (#3) and Marshall (#31) now remain as the only two undefeated teams yet neither is in the top two due to their perceived weak strength of schedule.

Sunday, November 9, 2014

Rankings through November 8, 2014

Wow!  If the season ended today, the Random Walker rankings would pick Miss St. and Alabama for a national championship game.  And it just so happens that they play each other next week!  FSU and TCU seem to be in cruise control the rest of the season hoping that the SEC continues to beat up on itself.  Oregon and Arizona St. also seem to be heading towards a matchup in the Pac 12 championship with the winner hoping to have a place in the playoff as well.  There are still many great games to be played before the dust settles.

Sunday, November 2, 2014

Rankings through November 1, 2014

The SEC continues its domination of our rankings with 5 of the top 7.  It will be interesting to see if the SEC can somehow get two teams into the four team playoff.  If so, there will be some unhappy people either in the Big 12 or Big 10 I'd imagine.

Sunday, October 19, 2014

Rankings through October 18, 2014

After the fantastic battle between Florida State and Notre Dame, the upset of Baylor, and the solid performances by the top SEC teams, we are left with 4 SEC teams in the top 5 of our ranking, for essentially all values of our parameter p.  Florida State clearly has the easiest remaining schedule and seems like a shoe-in for the inaugural 4 team playoff.  The 4 SEC teams however have many battles ahead.  I have a feeling it will probably come down to FSU, the SEC champ, the Pac-12 champ, and either the Big-10 champ or the Big 12 champ for the 4 playoff spots.

Monday, October 13, 2014

Rankings through October 11

After another dominant showing by the state of Mississippi, the top two spots have been claimed by Miss St and Ole Miss for all values of our parameter "p".  This week's game of FSU vs ND will definitely have big implications in these rankings for next week.