Sunday, October 4, 2009

Rankings through October 3rd

There are obviously still a lot of unknowns this early in the season (there's a reason the official BCS Standings don't come out this early), but rankings do start to make a little more sense with another week of games on the books. Obviously, all eyes are on the upcoming Florida-LSU game. Meanwhile, there are only two potential BCS busters left after Houston's loss.

2009 Random Walker Rankings (RWFL, p=0.75)
Games through Saturday October 3rd:
1. Alabama (5-0) [2.5017]
2. LSU (5-0) [2.4968]
3. Iowa (5-0) [2.0009]
4. Virginia Tech (4-1) [1.8947]
5. Wisconsin (5-0) [1.5998]
6. Miami FL (3-1) [1.5444]
7. Auburn (5-0) [1.5160]
8. Texas (4-0) [1.4734]
9. Florida (4-0) [1.4694]
10. Boise St (5-0) [1.4400]
11. Cincinnati (5-0) [1.3715]
12. TCU (4-0) [1.2569]
13. Stanford (4-1) [1.2250]
14. Kansas (4-0) [1.2161]
15. Southern Cal (4-1) [1.1354]
16. Georgia Tech (4-1) [1.1309]
17. Oregon (4-1) [1.0211]
18. Notre Dame (4-1) [1.0181]
19. Arizona (3-1) [1.0069]
20. Ohio State (4-1) [0.8263]
21. Washington (2-3) [0.8211]
22. Missouri (4-0) [0.8186]
23. Georgia (3-2) [0.8182]
24. UCLA (3-1) [0.7916]
25. Boston College (4-1) [0.7564]
26. Nebraska (3-1) [0.7227]
27. Idaho (4-1) [0.6980]
28. South Florida (5-0) [0.6580]
29. Michigan (4-1) [0.6452]
30. Penn State (4-1) [0.6292]
31. Baylor (3-1) [0.6022]
32. Connecticut (3-1) [0.6013]
33. Wake Forest (3-2) [0.5748]
34. Brigham Young (4-1) [0.5423]
35. South Carolina (4-1) [0.5347]
36. West Virginia (3-1) [0.4952]
37. Central Michigan (4-1) [0.4842]
38. Houston (3-1) [0.4083]
39. California (3-2) [0.3957]
40. Utah (3-1) [0.3867]
41. Oklahoma St (3-1) [0.3446]
42. Rutgers (3-1) [0.3301]
43. Minnesota (3-2) [0.3293]
44. Louisiana-Lafayette (2-2) [0.2786]
45. Middle Tennessee St (3-1) [0.2491]
46. Clemson (2-3) [0.2491]
47. Arkansas (2-2) [0.2421]
48. Pittsburgh (4-1) [0.2379]
49. Oregon St (3-2) [0.2180]
50. Kentucky (2-2) [0.1927]
51. Northern Illinois (3-2) [0.1752]
52. Michigan St (2-3) [0.1551]
53. Mississippi (3-1) [0.1403]
54. Mississippi St (2-3) [0.1342]
55. North Carolina (3-2) [0.0998]
56. Oklahoma (2-2) [0.0922]
57. Florida St (2-3) [0.0567]
58. Colorado St (3-2) [0.0383]
59. North Carolina St (3-2) [0.0314]
60. Indiana (3-2) [0.0182]
61. Marshall (3-2) [0.0152]
62. East Carolina (3-2) [0.0144]
63. Navy (3-2) [0.0051]
64. Kansas St (3-2) [-0.0052]
65. Iowa St (3-2) [-0.0111]
66. Texas A&M (3-1) [-0.0771]
67. Tennessee (2-3) [-0.0811]
68. Arizona St (2-2) [-0.1049]
69. Ohio U. (3-2) [-0.1323]
70. Louisiana Tech (2-2) [-0.1732]
71. Southern Miss (3-2) [-0.1735]
72. Troy (2-2) [-0.1832]
73. Tulsa (4-1) [-0.1996]
74. Louisiana-Monroe (3-2) [-0.2057]
75. Fresno St (1-3) [-0.2100]
76. UTEP (2-3) [-0.2418]
77. Maryland (2-3) [-0.2482]
78. Syracuse (2-3) [-0.2810]
79. Wyoming (3-2) [-0.2888]
80. Air Force (3-2) [-0.3169]
81. San Jose St (1-3) [-0.3252]
82. Texas Tech (3-2) [-0.3597]
83. SMU (2-2) [-0.3628]
84. Nevada (1-3) [-0.3841]
85. Central Florida (3-2) [-0.3879]
86. San Diego St (2-3) [-0.3948]
87. Illinois (1-3) [-0.4138]
88. Vanderbilt (2-3) [-0.4519]
89. Washington St (1-4) [-0.4590]
90. Northwestern (3-2) [-0.4649]
91. Tulane (2-2) [-0.4788]
92. Toledo (3-2) [-0.4989]
93. Kent St (2-3) [-0.5253]
94. Arkansas St (1-3) [-0.5730]
95. Bowling Green (1-4) [-0.5739]
96. Western Michigan (2-3) [-0.5815]
97. Purdue (1-4) [-0.6155]
98. Hawai`i (2-2) [-0.6160]
99. Akron (1-3) [-0.6825]
100. UNLV (2-3) [-0.6936]
101. Utah St (1-3) [-0.6950]
102. Duke (2-3) [-0.7184]
103. Louisville (1-3) [-0.7645]
104. Alabama-Birmingham (2-3) [-0.7741]
105. Colorado (1-3) [-0.7861]
106. New Mexico St (2-3) [-0.8521]
107. North Texas (1-3) [-0.9751]
108. Temple (2-2) [-1.0962]
109. Memphis (1-4) [-1.1092]
110. Virginia (1-3) [-1.1385]
111. Buffalo (1-4) [-1.1989]
112. Army (2-3) [-1.4860]
113. FCS teams (XXX-XXX) [-1.5533]
114. Florida Atlantic (0-4) [-1.6109]
115. Florida Int'l (0-4) [-1.6260]
116. Miami OH (0-5) [-1.6788]
117. New Mexico (0-5) [-2.3440]
118. Rice (0-5) [-2.4494]
119. Western Kentucky (0-4) [-2.5740]
120. Eastern Michigan (0-4) [-3.3076]
121. Ball St (0-5) [-3.6623]

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2 Comments:

At October 4, 2009 at 7:07 PM , Blogger Mason said...

Have the teams with good records (e.g., 4-1 and 3-1) that have negative RW scores played weak schedules thus far?

 
At October 5, 2009 at 5:59 AM , Blogger Peter J. Mucha said...

In a word: yes.

For instance, Kenneth Massey's comparisons page lets you click on an individual team to see that team's schedule. You can easily see see Tulsa and Texas A&M schedules there. You can also easily random walk around the graph yourself, clicking from one team to another.

 

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